tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-90835120694765537132023-07-18T01:12:41.551-04:00The MountainThe Buzz on Mountaineer and Presque Isle Downs RacingRalph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.comBlogger24125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-45285281256639289282011-11-14T18:27:00.005-05:002011-11-14T19:39:14.134-05:00The Davis Family: MNR's Parasite<em>by Ralph the Cat</em><br /><br />I heard that Mountaineer's <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_0" class="blsp-spelling-error">facebook</span> page was taking a lot of heat from horse activist groups for not enforcing their "no slaughter" policy. I <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_1" class="blsp-spelling-corrected">couldn't</span> help but want to check out what all the bickering was about. I started scrolling down the page reading tons of he said, she said, bickering about horse slaughtering. Mountaineer <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_2" class="blsp-spelling-corrected">didn't</span> do much policing, but surprisingly they actually commented on some of the posts. As I scroll back up to the top of the page I see a recent post, added just seconds ago, it was from a <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_3" class="blsp-spelling-error">horseplayer</span>. It read something along the lines of, I have a $20 win ticket on Justice Express, from August 20<span id="SPELLING_ERROR_4" class="blsp-spelling-error">th</span>, he ran 2<span id="SPELLING_ERROR_5" class="blsp-spelling-error">nd</span> but I found out that the horse that won was later <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_6" class="blsp-spelling-error">DQ'd</span>, can I cash this? or <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_7" class="blsp-spelling-corrected">at least</span> get a refund? "... I chuckled, thinking ya, right, like they would even consider it. I thought to myself I should comeback a little later and <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_8" class="blsp-spelling-corrected">at least</span> read what their generic response would be or at least what others had to say. Just a few hours later, I go back on and the post is gone, I scrolled up and down the page, nothing. Mountaineers PR really thought they should delete this post? I remembered the posters name, and messaged him, figuring they at least responded privately to him. Nope, I <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_9" class="blsp-spelling-corrected">haven't</span> heard anything he tells me. I couldnt help but wonder how this horse received a bad test in August, but the horse wasnt actually DQ'd until October, but was allowed to run at PID in September with no mentioning of the failed drug test in the PP line, meaning the betting public was unaware that this horse failed a drug test and was going through an appeal process. So not once, but twice the public was screwed over. Oh, and the horse ran last at PID in that start after being bet down to 4-1<br /><br />When I first looked up the chart from Mountainer, the night he was DQ'd. I saw it was a horse called Sea <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_10" class="blsp-spelling-error">Dubia</span>, <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_11" class="blsp-spelling-error">DQ'd</span> and placed last, trainer, none other than Billy Ray Davis, a trainer who was black balled from racing for more than a decade. father of Scooter Davis, <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_12" class="blsp-spelling-corrected">who has</span> had more positives than any the last decade. I look up the penalty they gave Billy Ray Davis, a loss of purse and a 15 day suspension. <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_13" class="blsp-spelling-error">Sheesh</span>, that must have put him out of business, <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_14" class="blsp-spelling-corrected">don't</span> ya think? I can see it now. A man gets out of prison after serving ten years for robbing a bank. Within months he robs a gas station and they just ask him to bring the stuff back.<br /><br />Billy Ray Davis' <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_15" class="blsp-spelling-error">DQ</span> was for a drug called <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_16" class="blsp-spelling-error">clenbuterol</span>. The family's drug of choice. Although we <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_17" class="blsp-spelling-corrected">wouldn't</span> have enough ink to print out all of Scooters violations, his recent ones are mostly <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_18" class="blsp-spelling-error">clenbuterol</span>. In March of 2010, Scooter scored his first win at Penn National, as well as his first <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_19" class="blsp-spelling-corrected">positive</span> test at Penn National, for none other than <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_20" class="blsp-spelling-error">clenbuterol</span>. They gave him a $1,500 fine and a <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_21" class="blsp-spelling-error">DQ</span>, a suspension <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_22" class="blsp-spelling-corrected">wasn't</span> listed, but he <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_23" class="blsp-spelling-corrected">didn't</span> race up there the rest of the meet. The following year, a <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_24" class="blsp-spelling-error">DQ</span> at CT for <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_25" class="blsp-spelling-error">clenbuterol</span>, just a few days later, a <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_26" class="blsp-spelling-error">DQ</span> at <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_27" class="blsp-spelling-error">MNR</span> for <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_28" class="blsp-spelling-error">clenbuterol</span>. Shortly after this the state of WV gives his father a trainers license, WHILE SCOOTER IS SUSPENDED, Billy Ray Davis is granted a license? In the words of my 3 year old nephew, are you shitting me?<br /><br />In August, when Billy Ray Davis' Sea <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_29" class="blsp-spelling-error">Dubia</span> was <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_30" class="blsp-spelling-error">DQ'd</span> at <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_31" class="blsp-spelling-error">MNR</span>, his son, Scooter Davis was busy seeking <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_32" class="blsp-spelling-error">lasix</span> after the deadline at their sister track <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_33" class="blsp-spelling-error">PID</span>, getting a 15 day suspension and a $1,000 fine. Will the madness ever end? <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_34" class="blsp-spelling-error">DQ's</span>, 15 day suspensions. $1,000 fines.... and <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_35" class="blsp-spelling-error">MNR</span> cant answer a simple question, can you refund my ticket when a Davis horse is <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_36" class="blsp-spelling-error">DQ'd</span>????Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-59890182180153916992010-12-07T14:02:00.005-05:002010-12-07T14:12:35.096-05:00Jockeys with Frozen ChestnutsBy Ralph the Cat<br /><br />It is a bit depressing to know we wont be getting to watch Mountaineer run in January and February again this year. The thing that sucks the most is the current line up of jockeys is more resistant to the harsh winter weather than in years past. Mountaineer surely lost some much needed "fat" in the jockey colony and a "tougher" "broker" and more "eager" colony has emerged. With all that said, its hard to run races at a track with no money. There is one way they could run in the winter months though, <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_0" class="blsp-spelling-error">ahhh</span> fuck it, no ones listening... Have a Merry Christmas.Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-78596899469603632542010-10-27T19:39:00.003-04:002010-10-27T19:56:03.204-04:00Mountaineer Relapse<em>Ralph the Cat</em><br />A little over a year since my last blog. I was getting help with my addiction, but eventually failed, in epic proportion. Well, maybe its been a year, but Ive gone longer than that when it comes to talking to old Friends and even family members. The Mountain has been undergoing a steady decline the past year, but have some mercy on the Mountain, the Pennsylvania gaming businesses nearly gave it a knock out punch, but we're still standing, a little dirty, broke and walking with a limp, but we're still carrying on. Purses may be decreasing, handle down slightly, and some top trainers and jockeys shipping out, but hey, it could always be worse. Its clear, the Mountain has seen its better days, but our obsession, our addiction, our inconceivable passion with playing the Mountain probably wont ever go away and that may just be enough to keep it around long enough to go to the grave knowing we have a shot beating a poor chalk on Fridays opener. Often times its like watching a train wreck, but who on earth doesn't want to see a train wreck?Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-78415305842073879112009-10-02T01:19:00.002-04:002009-10-02T01:51:59.503-04:00Aint No Sunshine When I Blogby Ralph the Cat<br /><br />Well, I know there was around 100 or maybe just 3, that were excited to read this blog covering Mountaineer when I first started it. Fact of the matter is, its been a busy summer. The last 6 months of my life have been life changing. I closed a chapter in my life and opened a new one, a new chapter that I am thrilled to be writing. As the cold months approach I will be back bolder than ever blogging about Mountaineer racing. When I find the time to handicap in the summer months, its usually at tracks where I know I have a shot at turning a profit, Mountaineer is not one of those. Mountaineer is an extra challenge I take on, a harsh reality check if you will. A track Ive beat numerous months with life changing scores, but a track that has also drained my bank account as fast as any. Mountaineer takes patience, extra work and a ton of luck to score, something I <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_0" class="blsp-spelling-corrected">don't</span> always have going for me when the sun's out. I look forward to the winter months of racing, filled with cancellations, sloppy frozen tracks, horrible rides and F bombs dropping out of my mouth like there's no tomorrow. I hope you find the time to join me and my <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_1" class="blsp-spelling-corrected">ridiculous</span> blogs concerning the devil, aka the Mountain. Please, join me as I pray, dear lord, I thank you for what you have given me, the love, the food and a life filled with joy, I ask you to watch over my picks, to make sure I <span id="SPELLING_ERROR_2" class="blsp-spelling-corrected">don't </span>lose my ass over these winter months at Mountaineer, I pray, just win baby... AmenRalph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com7tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-59535636221115920122009-07-20T19:23:00.002-04:002009-07-20T19:36:34.024-04:00Woolley Gives MNR the BirdBy Ralph the Cat<br /><br />The Bird should arrive at <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">MNR</span> around noon on Friday. <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">Woolley</span> gave the Bird his final work at Churchill Downs Monday morning, an impressive 4f work in 48.4. The gelding galloped out 5F in a <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">titillating</span> 1:01.4 with Jamie <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Theriot</span> up. Jamie <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">Theriot</span>, a likely backup to Mike Smith, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">didnt</span> say much more than "hes fantastic" after <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">dismounting</span> from the gelding <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">Monday</span> morning. The gelding figures to put in his 5<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">th</span> and final work over <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">MNRs</span> surface early next week. This will be <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_10">MNRs</span> first Kentucky Derby Winner to run in the Grade II West Virginia Derby. The race is set for Saturday August 1st, with an early post time. A cake walk will be unlikely, for Mike Smith is too <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_11">patient</span> for <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_12">MNRs</span> egg-shaped oval...Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-42738441976592201282009-04-26T15:36:00.002-04:002009-04-27T11:49:13.303-04:00No News Isnt Always Good NewsBy Ralph the Cat<br /><br />Especially when it comes to "MY" blog. But hey, I'm still alive and well. Ive just been busier than a hooker on a Friday night. So here's the deal, jockeys are still lazy and unprofessional, trainers still cheat, agents still suck and track management still don't know how to run a track. Oh, I almost forgot, bettors still like to bitch about the stupidest of things. <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">Ahh</span>, horse racing in the 21st century. <br /><br />In other news, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">MNR</span> slashed purses like a used car salesman. Their product is shit as well, much like a used cars salesman. I wont blame that on management.... yet, but I do think <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">HRTVs</span> exclusive coverage of CT and <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">TVGs</span> non-coverage of anything associated with West Virginia racing might have something to do with the donkeys at <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">MNR</span>. I know, I know, there's only so much they can do. Like make the WV Derby a grade II, and maintain the highest stakes purses they've ever had. As long as they cut the bottom purses they can maintain excellence! I ask, why help the ship-in stake trainers who don't give a rats ass about <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">MNR</span> racing, but force legitimate stables, not the small stables, but legitimate stables with good horses to consider shipping to <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">PID</span>, Penn or even CT. Watch the names disappear slowly but surely as our $2,500 claimers run for a claiming tag of $5k with purses dropping to $8,000. <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">Ahhh</span>, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">MNR</span> wanted to look like CD, now they look like <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">TDN</span>. But hey, we have a Grade II race!<br /><br />I'm not pointing fingers, or saying anybody is wrong, I'm just saying there's a few things that aren't right, and the the few things that are right, I don't give a rats ass about.<br /><br />In other news, Ozzy got wasted, cheated at Black Jack and was banned from <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_10">MNR</span>. I didn't see it in writing yet, that's just a rumor, but you know what they say about rumors, they're usually half true. He probably wasn't wasted, he was probably high.Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-89262974083529460812009-04-16T18:12:00.001-04:002009-04-16T18:14:49.128-04:00An Authentic Rantby Chris Longshot<br /><br />Is it me or is watching the speed bias races at Mountaineer night after night like watching the Bill Murray classic, Groundhog's Day??? Another minute's passed, another MNR jock that has tried to commence a rally up the rail and failed miserably. I mean do these guy's watch race replays or recognizes biases. Parker and Whitney's back, great!! There goes all the value of the past few months. Time for the jocks to stop appeasing these guys and race just as agressively, like they did before these guys came back. Am I the only one who noticed how many bad breaks horses get at Mountaineer. I mean how in the world are you supposed to predict the probably pace when you have an epidemic number of horses breaking bad. If I was running MNR, I would have every horse show at least one recent gate work and extra training for the gate crew. Its become absurd, no wonder why the tracks so hard to predict, you almost never get a clean start at the break. It's gotten to the point where you have to predict 2 pace scenarios: the likely pace, and the unpredictable pace after 2 or 3 of the chalks break bad. Another minute goes by another longshot horse that makes a big move around the turn only to flattened out soon after. How about the longshot leader out by 4 lengths entering the stretch, looks stong and quits inexplicably with little pressure. Matter of fact its become apparent MNR is riddled with horses who are quite excellent at running 4 furlongs. Another race goes by, another Eric Reed horse finishes up the track at 3/5. I don't get it, talk about a guy who's reputation proceeds himself. The guy doesn't win at Oaklawn, ask Whitney, doesn't win in Kentucky, ask Castanon, doesn't win at Mountaineer, ask Whitney again, can you tell me where this trainer actually wins races, oh and Beulah doesn't count. Enough is enough already with Eric Reed's reputation and his lackluster 3/5 shots at the mountain. I have had enough, despite the fact I never use them anyway. Equally puzzling is the money put down on Jay Bernardini horses and the money lost on Larry Rivelli's short chalks. Then again you have to respect a trainer that deceives players and sends out horses with hidden infermities begging to be claimed. The latter two have been going well recently at MNR but you'll see history repeat itself before its too long. All these trainers horses continously get bet heavily, despite their pathetic performances at MNR. Hey there goes Rod Moyners again burning more money on a supertrainer claim gone awry. Where does this guy get all this money??? Does he actually expect to win with the horse?? Another race passes, another jock who has decided to change tactics with our money. Would be nice if they could tell us this before the race, oh well there goes the probable pace scenario again. Just wondering did Peter Berry have a bet on Marble Cliff the other night??? Was awfully excited!!! I figured the horse was a 80-1 shot after hearing the call. Another night passes another bias that has developed at the Mountain. One day the inside is good, the next day the outside is good, first 3 races the inside paths are good, next 3 races the outside paths are good. If its 30 degrees this means this but at 20 degrees this develops. I need a bottle of advil. Im convinced the track surface at Mountaineer is as hard to crack as the DaVinci Code. Can someone tell the jocks to at least try to look like your making an attempt to hold place/show spot after being passed in the stretch, some of them just quit riding once they have been passed no wonder why it always seems that illogical 40-1 longshot closer gets up for 3rd. Also some these jocks ride so high in the stirrups and so nonchalantly no wonder why their horses lack that finishing punch, how about moving the arms vigorously, get lower, it might just help. Is it me or does it seem like there is 3 races going on within a race at Mountaineer?? there's more gaps in the field then in Michael Strahan's teeth. Do some even get out of a gallop??? Another race passes and yet again Whitney sits patiently on a stalking chalk, with a full head of steam, while the leader kicks clear due to the soft pressure. How about the jock that lags 16 lengths off the lead and makes up a lot of ground just in time to nab 6th, nice ride jock, just wondering what the hell are they waiting for???? Another race goes by another Alan Crago horse that blows up the tote without warning. Conversely, a Doug Shaneyfelt chalk has just won by many many lengths, go figure! As DM would say, That's just my opinion, I could be wrong.Chris Longshothttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01791496701142101230noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-49860726448542857222009-02-21T19:51:00.005-05:002009-02-22T00:03:58.909-05:00Vickers: The New Money Rider?<em>by Ralph the Cat</em><br /><br />Probably not, but don't tell him that. Nathan <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">Vickers</span> has surely been the surprise this winter leading the others by a near $20,000 in earnings. Tho Nguyen read my blog last month, and must have got on his agent. Tho leads all riders with a stunning 14 wins from just 43 starts, with <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Vickers</span> sitting 2<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">nd</span> with 11 wins. I never cared to really make a big deal about the riders standings but it has been a rare year, worth mentioning. Oswald <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">Pereira</span> is no where to be found in the jockeys standing, with just 5 wins from 66 starts. That said, it <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">doesn't</span> appear that he's riding that bad. Some of his mounts have been just awful on paper, yet hes got 10-1 horses or higher up for a show or place spot each night the past month or more, <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">simply</span> incredible, but <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">doesn't</span> count for much more. Ozzie sits with a stunning 14 2<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">nd</span> place finishes from those 66 mounts, more 2<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_10">nd</span> place finishes than both the leading and 2<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_11">nd</span> ranked riders at Mountaineer. Someone tell Ozzie where the wire is. If he can turn those 2<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_12">nd</span> place finishes into victories for the second half of the meet, surely he can play catch up, but it wont be easy, <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_13">that's</span> for sure.Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-42018407182661145042009-01-28T18:39:00.011-05:002009-01-28T22:07:35.154-05:00Follow The Yellow Brick Rode<em>by Ralph the Cat</em><br /><br />It hit me the other night, the jockey colony at Mountaineer could make a great rendition of the Wizard of Oz. I think Murph would be the Tin Man, in search of a heart. I have much respect for Murph, he WAS one of the most polished riders to ever ride at Mountaineer and the times I spoke with him it was easy to like him. Unfortunately, his heart has always been in question, but now, at the age of 44 years old, his athletic ability might be just as big of a problem. If you didn't see an aged Murph in the saddle this past week, you have plenty of time to see the eye doctor by Saturdays card. He sat on numerous live mounts to start off the meet, but struggled to say the least, maybe his best ride came in a 3 horse race as he crawled away to win by nearly 9 lengths on the 3/5 favorite. Somebody get some oil to loosen up those joints of his, a heart wouldn't hurt either.<br /><br />Tho Nguyen is clearly in search of a brain. With names like Stokes, Parker and Whitney not picking up a large number of the mounts, why on earth do guys like Vickers, Murphy, Ccamaque, Hernandez and Davila have more mounts than him? Yes, hes always been a "limited stable" kind of rider, but why on earth wouldn't he take advantage of the current situation? Like a scarecrow filled with straw, he can easily catch fire, but not unless he gets the mounts. He is obviously in search of a brain, or better yet, an agent.<br /><br />Vickers can easily be considered the cowardly lion. His rides last year were awful at times. Not to mention hes one of the least stylish riders out there for sure. He doesn't appear to be much of a jockey, much like the Lion from the Wizard of Oz doesn't appear to be much of a lion. But by the end of the story, the lion realizes even though he looks like a panzy most of the time, hes brave enough to act in the face of fear, much like Vickers.<br /><br />Rex fits the Wicked Witch of the East as good as any, with his girlish attributes and mind set at times. However, he often does things on horses that others cant, much like how the witch does things on a broom that others can't. The witch isn't in the movie much at all, but when she arrives she makes a big scene, much like the legitimate contenders that Rex stops by for. I just hope by the end of this movie, hes not around, much like the wicked witch of the east.<br /><br />Lets get one thing straight though, much of the movie takes place in the Magical Land of Oz. Oswald Pereira sits one win shy of taking over the lead and will have the number of mounts it takes to win the academy award for "Best Jockey" to appear in a Mountaineer Meet.<br /><br />While all this is going down, you can catch Chris Longshot hanging himself in the back ground with picks that even a Wizard can't figure out.<br /><br />Hey, its the 70th anniversary of the movie, a remake might be possible.Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-35529327657935765382009-01-24T12:18:00.001-05:002009-01-24T12:21:03.258-05:00Mountaineer Racing Summed Up In One Word: Bias<em>By Chris Longshot</em><br /><br />Looking back on the 2008 version of Mountaineer racing, I cannot help but think I could sum it up in one simple word: bias. Obviously, not surprising to most Mountaineer enthusiasts, since most would agree Mountaineer has generally been a speed dominant track. Of course there were nights where stalkers and closers would do well but on most nights, short priced chalk were wiring fields with half of the field in their own race 20 lengths back. Towards the end of the year, it became quite apparent that if a speed bias was not in effect, an inside post bias/path bias was. This type a bias did not favor speed, stalkers or closers, just the inside posts, specifically posts 1-6 and specifically in the stretch. A path bias soon developed at Mountaineer and as a result playing outside horses(7-10)especially ones who had no speed was a recipe for disaster and for your bankroll. For a lot of longshot enthusiasts, this was not good news. Many of Mountaineer's longshots, who had a sudden reversal of forms have come from wide closers sweeping by the field late in the stretch or by certain track conditions waking them up. Days of longshots going to the top and wiring fields were long gone, these days they run for a half and quit. In the past, a wide bias was much more pronounced but not in the year 2008. In the last few months alone, I have witnessed numerous higher priced closers, who were just about on even terms or a couple lengths back from their counterparts entering the stretch and inexplicably hung or looked like they were running in quicksand, making up no further ground. A great example of this was back on December 29th. The horse in question was the #7 horse, Creative Edge at 33-1 in Mnr's 5th, look at the replay to get a better understanding of my point. Creative Edge raced wide the whole race began to make a big move nearing the turn, thought Davila should have stayed closer to the rail or dipped in further to the rail, it was open but I guess he didn't know a bias was in play for months. So they come around the far turn, of course a couple of the short priced inside horses are battling up front, appear to be tiring but the #7 Creative Edge appears to be coming best of all out wide, for some reason Davila continues to bring the horse out yet another path, the horse then is making no further impression and the speeds on the inside are continuing on easily. Now no doubt the winner was legit, being the post time favorite anyway, the second horse ran an unbelievable race at 87-1 from the #8 post no less but did flash speed unlike the #7. My overall point is that on a non biased track IMO, the #7 horse goes right by the tiring leaders and wins at 33-1. Now I know most would suggest that the horse simply hung, after making up a lot ground around the turn but I don't believe that to be the case. Shortly after "flattening out" under the right handed whip the horse sways over to another path closer to the rail and suddenly now starts gaining again but unfortunately much to late to get to the leaders. This is just one example and there are many others of closers who have made big moves around the turn only to flatten out mid stretch while inside horses glide along easily. Its a big reason why more than a few have been frustrated with the short prices there lately. The closers/ mid pack horses have to run so big to win, especially entering the stretch wide. So one might say, I'll put the #7 Creative Edge on my stable alert and wait till he gets a more favorable post since he ran against the bit. He would run overlaid and I would be rewarded for my observations at a fat price. Strange thing is, looking at entries, miraculously a lot of the chalks have been drawn to the inside. Is this done by lottery or is it just a coincidence? I don't know, now that I think of it, I have never see 3 or 4 longshots in the first 3 or 4 posts at Mountaineer together as of late, I guess only when the track is outside bias I will see this. When you do see a longshot drawn towards the rail, there usually so hopeless that no bias would improve their performance. Guess we will get no help from the person that does the entries. There is also an a bias that is not as easily perceptible. Its when a horse is almost on even terms rounding the turn. Visually, he's 1 maybe 2 lengths behind, however, when they straighten, he's suddenly 4 to 5 lengths behind the field, watch it, its pretty cool, what happened? can a horse flatten out around a turn? Seems to me the inside horses get a nice slingshot around the turn, getting an extra boost I guess, while the outside horses stays where they were originally, unless they do go backwards and forward at the same time. So not to overbeat a point, the inside paths have been the place to be, everyone knows it, its amazing how many jocks from outside posts refuse to go to the rail and come up there late to be competitive, I can assure you its open at some point. It's really the their only chance of winning, if they can't get the lead clearly and get over to the rail. Yes they will be prominent early if they have speed or can at least stalk but won't be around late I can assure you. Sometimes I find it hilarious how many jocks can't figure out a bias, especially at a bias track at Mountaineer. The top guys can but usually the jocks piloting longshots cannot or are scared by the rail. So what do we have took look forward to in 2009 you might ask? Probably more chalks drawn to the inside, more longshots to the outer posts. Seems Mountaineer no longer likes chaos aspect of a few years ago, they much prefer the chalk to keep rolling in. Between the anti wide bias, supertrainers, elimination of Dale's stock and sharper betting public, its no wonder the chalk players were thriving in 2008, while the longshot players were puking in there soup as mentioned in a previous blog. But there is yet another reason for the short prices, non competitive fields and decreased quality of racing, explained in detail sometime this week before the racing resumes, part 3: synthetic surfaces. Lastly, feel free to comment on the blog, agree, disagree or offer some insight yourself on you experiences with the biases there, I will admit I'm not great at tracking biases, just wanted to pass along the little I could.Chris Longshothttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01791496701142101230noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-54366697650500972802009-01-16T16:49:00.003-05:002009-01-16T17:03:13.729-05:00Mountaineer Racing: Too Cold to Care<em>Ralph the Cat</em><br /><br />Although a racing card awaits us, I couldn't care any less. We underwent one of the coldest nights in years. The temperatures were below zero most of the night and barely creeped above zero throughout the day today. The chances of us running a card in the next couple days is as likely as the Green Monkey winning the Classic this year. It's way too cold to care.Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-64351355872181119322009-01-09T01:06:00.007-05:002009-01-09T02:58:11.859-05:00Mountaineer Jockeys: Age Matter?<em>by Ralph the Cat</em><br /><br />With the recent discussion on who will take home this up and coming jockey title I figured why not talk about some of these ole timers still getting a leg up. Whats considered to be too old for a jockey? Does age matter? When handicapping, do you consider the age of a rider if you know the circuit/jockeys well enough? or is your main concern ability? For the most part I think ability directly relates to age. But there's always the guys that don't look their age. You know, that 20 year old bug that rides like a stiff 50 year old. How about that 20 year old that just rides a bit cautious like an older vet that just wants to make it to the finish line. Then you have those guys pushing 40 that ride as gutsy and athletic as if they were in their prime. The reason why I brought this up is I don't think the Mountaineer community realizes how old our top riders are. The youngest set of top riders were Rex and Ricky who are in their early 20s, but it appears a future at Mountaineer may be doubtful. Besides them, the youngest jockeys that compete at the top our Oswald Pereira at 34 and the streaky Joe Stokes 31, who rides at several different circuits throughout the year. The names we are so use to seeing on top at Mountaineer our guys like Tho Nguyen 37, Deshawn Parker who just turned 38, Dana Whitney who will be turning 39, Scott Spieth who's 44, and Andrew Ramgeet 45, not to mention the recently retired Chad Murphy who is 44.<br /><br />I've been browsing forums for a couple years now, and never did I see as many Mountaineer riding "effort" complaints as I have seen this past year. All were directed at these top riders. I was surprised and glad to see threads about how guys like Jesus Barria deserve more credit, how Arizona Miller puts in solid rides, how guys like Freddy P need better mounts, how Luis Rivera is ballsy, the list goes on and on. I'm pleased to see the handicappers step up and make these bold observations about the top riders, so I don't feel like the Grinch that knocks too many "highly respected riders". I was beginning to think I was losing my mind, did that jockey even want to win that race? I've asked myself that question one too many times. I'm just glad to see the Mountaineer community make such solid observations on Mountaineer jockeys, beyond just saying, ..."that rider sucks"... I will say this though, before Parker even made that huge run at 100 wins in one meet this year, there weren't many complaints about "Mr. Dependable". When you get zero complaints from the guys who watch every race and every move, you're destined for success. Hes one rider where age does not show, closing in on forty, he looks at his best. I cant say the same for the others in that group of "40" year olds.Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-60005027357637312932009-01-05T18:14:00.004-05:002009-01-05T18:56:46.822-05:00Who's Man Enough? Ride Hard or Die Trying<em>by Ralph the Cat</em><br /><br />Some jockeys live by it. They lay everything on the line just to win a race. At this up and coming winter meet at Mountaineer expect to see a jockey colony that's motivated more than ever, something we haven't seen for some time. The 2<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">nd</span> <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">winningest</span> rider in the Nation, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">Deshawn</span> Parker, is set for the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Oaklawn</span> meet and Rex Stokes is busy at <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">Turfway</span> Park. An amazing opportunity has arose for jockeys that have been taking the backseats to Parker and Rex the past few years. I don't know what Whitney has in store, but he hasn't been putting the time in at Mountaineer like in years past. The 34 year old Trinidad native with a wicked right handed stick is among the favorites to sit atop the Mountain standings, you may know him as Oswald <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">Pereira</span>, who recently hit the 1,000 win mark. The 36 year old Vietnamese native, Tho Nguyen hopes to take control of the meet with some of the top ship-in trainers at his side.<br /><br />Ironically, I found these 2 riders to be the most dependable in the slop. It will be a battle in the slop for sure this winter, with riders like Perez, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">Barria</span>, Rivera and plenty more capable riders to challenge. With Oswald <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">Pereira's</span> grit in these type of conditions its going to have to take some pretty stupid trainers not to replace the Parker mounts with Ozzie mounts. The agents of Tho and Ozzie are going to decide the outcome of this 3 month race. My money's on Ozzie, Ozzie, Ozzie, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">Oy</span>,<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">Oy</span>,<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_10">Oy</span>.Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-20379337573939587682009-01-03T00:26:00.006-05:002009-01-03T01:12:40.696-05:00A Solution That Will Never Be Used<em>by Ralph the Cat</em><br /><br />What was Mountaineers best racing season for bettors and horsemen? Was it 2002? maybe 2003? or even 2004? Those couple of years would be my answer. The claiming game was RED hot and the bettors had wide open fields. What has changed besides the obvious? The death of Dale, the opening of <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">PID</span>, I could go on and on. One problem strikes me more than anything, it has become a growing concern of mine and I feel its being <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">majorly</span> overlooked by <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">management</span>. <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Here's</span> the problem, try and answer me this, why is it that there are horses that are only worth $500 running in $5k claiming races? Why does the claiming races for lifetime horses skip from $5k to $10k to $15k? and then the wide open races only go from $5k to $7.5k to $10k to $15k etc.?<br /><br />Before you get the wrong idea and say, look, Mountaineer management cant control the stock <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">that's</span> entered in their races, hear me out. Mountaineer management can fix the problem, but that would require extra time and work, so managements simple answer to the question is its what the horsemen want. It's not. Hear me out, it's not! Maybe 5 years ago it was in the best interest to give Mountaineer a new image of a "bigger and better" track by having the lowest claiming race a $5k race. But by golly Churchill Downs bottom claimer is $5k, we <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">aren't</span> Churchill Downs people! We are the mountain located in a little town called Chester! Great, we gained Grade II status for our WV Derby but does that mean putting the proper tag on our claiming horses is a crime? Would it make it a Grade III again because we run $4k claiming races? Very, very successful and big name tracks still run bottom races of $4k, but Mountaineer chooses not to.<br /><br />In the middle of 2004 <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">management</span> changed the condition book to the present racing structure. Before that we had open races of 4k,5k,6.5k,10k,12.5k etc... it was a great structure. We had both 4k and 5k condition races as well. Please! Lets go back! By utilizing this racing <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">structure</span> you create more competitive fields. Guys with red hot horse used to drop into $5k races and avoid the $4k level, it wasn't a <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">guarantee</span> but more often than none the $5k races proved to be tougher than the $4k races. It <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">separated</span> these cheaper horse, because a trainer would be plan stupid to think he could compete in a $5k race if his horse <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_10">didn't</span> run good for $4k last time out. Every horse that was entered in for $5k seemed like a decent horse, while the #4k races seemed to draw the lowest quality animals like it intended. If we have 20+ horse entered in a <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_11">MDN</span> $5k race or 2 Lifetime race, why <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_12">don't</span> we offer a lower and higher tag? why should we run races where there are 2 horses in a race that will run 20 lengths apart?<br /><br />Am I the only one here that thinks the current $5k to $10k lifetime jump is insane too? So my horse wins an impressive $5k race for non winners of two lifetime and now I have to go to $10k if I think my horse will get claimed next time out? <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_13">Charlestown</span> has a fantastic claiming structures that makes each and every field a bit more exciting than Mountaineers fields. But why do I even waste my time, convincing Mountaineer management and the top horsemen alike of this would be like convincing God himself that he <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_14">didn't</span> create the world that we know of.Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-11599230449660818212009-01-02T19:00:00.002-05:002009-01-05T18:54:57.758-05:00Longshot Players Take it on The Chin in 2008<em>by Chris <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">Longshot</span></em><br /><br />Looking back on 2008, there are three things I thought I would never be alive to see, one, was a black president, two was the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">Phillies</span> winning the World Series and three, most shockingly, the “chalkiness” of Mountaineer racing in 2008!! If I was playing Texas Hold Em Poker I would have went “all in” and lost all my chips on the prospect of Mountaineer turning into a “favorite track”. Have to admit I didn't see it coming, still in denial actually, refusing to accept this reversal of fortune. But the statistics don’t lie, in 2008, favorites won at a near 40% clip, higher than the national average, the favorite was <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">ITM</span> at over 70% and we saw the rebirth of the “<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">supertrainer</span>” almost overnight at the mountain. After months and months of less competitive racing, short chalks, wire jobs and strung out fields, it would be safe to say that 2008 at the mountain was <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">longshot</span> players Waterloo!!! The “mad bomber” and his cronies had a banner year, where they were marching through the streets of Chester as chalk after chalk after chalk paraded in, while <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">longshot</span> players were left gasping for air, or better yet their horses were. So what is going to be the outlook for 2009? I’m afraid not much is going to change but I have hope, my mom always told me the first thing you do in solving a problem is to identify what has caused this trend to develop in the first place, so let’s indulge in one of the 3 causes and feel free to comment, whether you agree or disagree.<br /><br />The unfortunate and untimely death of Waterford’s finest; Dale Baird, sent <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">shockwaves</span> throughout the whole racing industry. Despite, his harshest critics, who would have put an asterisk next to Baird’s unprecedented win total, most would admit that Baird’s loss was monumental. However, many could easily conclude that racing at Mountaineer would never be the same without the “Wizard”. The impact would be great but to what extent?? Secondly, what would happen to Baird’s horses?? Initially, Penny Mathias, Baird’s assistant trainer, took over the training and had some moderate success. A few months later Baird’s son, Bart had taken over a few of his dad’s horses with little success. While Baird’s death was untimely, the impact and the elimination of his runners from the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">MNR</span> ‘gene pool” has affected Mountaineer racing greatly. Many of Baird’s horses filtered down to lower percentage outfits and though most did not improve off Baird, many of Baird’s horses brought home paychecks for their claimants.<br /><br />Throughout history, there have been numerous instances were other people have taken advantage of others peoples misfortune. This is no more evident then the rise of the “<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">supertrainer</span>” at the mountain. Let me explain, many in the industry respected Dale’s stock and knew if they expected to win at the mountain they had to come strong or not at all. Most did come well represented but generally still left the mountain without the winner’s portion of the purse. Some trainers were scared away, despite the increased purses and extra incentive to come. But as good as Baird was, his reputation proceeded himself. His horses often took “dumb money” from less polished newbie’s. This created nice juicy overlays for the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">longshot</span> players, willing to shoot against Baird’s horses. When Baird died, many trainers started to see the light at the end of the tunnel. Trainers like <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_10">Shaneyfelt</span> and <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_11">Englehart</span> to name a few, began to make the trip to the Northern Pan Handle but this time stocked with more runners. The question soon was, who would be the next trainer to dominate the Mountain? Most <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_12">MNR</span> followers would have place their bets that it would be Jeff <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_13">Radosevich</span>, who won a trainer title from Baird a few years back. However, he had an extremely difficult year at the mountain in 2008. The two mentioned above, along with another Baird family member, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_14">MJ</span> Baird, have been at the top of the standings for most of the year. The surprise is not that these trainers have been successful, they are all well respected but it’s the degree at which it has been achieved. Doug <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_15">Shaneyfelt</span> was a 50% trainer at one point, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_16">Englehart</span> a cut below but with almost equal percentage. Scooter Davis, had a sudden rebirth, reverting back to when he was a dominant trainer at the mountain. The greatest impact has been felt in the allowance ranks, where horses trained by these guys have the fields at their mercy on most nights. Even in the condition claimers their presence is felt, their horses are going to post at 3/5, 4/5 and 90% of the time, they have not disappointed their followers. In my opinion, the rise of these <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_17">supertainers</span>, the elimination of Dale and his stock, and a sharper betting public has contributed to the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_18">longshot</span> player’s worst nightmare, Broke Back Mountain!!! <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_19">Longshot</span> players have suffered, lower percentage outfits have suffered, the quality of racing has suffered, while chalk players have <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_20">strived</span> and handle has gone up generally. It seems more players are more comfortable with the more “<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_21">formful</span>” mountain then the indecipherable mess of the past few years. Lastly, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_22">longshot</span> players need to forget 2008 and look forward to 2009 because as many players who religiously follow the mountain know, things are known to change unexpectedly, 50% trainer this year, 15% trainer next year, will the march of favorites continue or will the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_23">longshot</span> players get the last laugh, only time will tell but the unfortunate loss of Dale Baird and his stock even in death has flipped Mountaineer racing upside down for the good for some and the bad and the ugly for others. Next blog next week will be cause two, a follow up on another reason that <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_24">longshot</span> players were puking in their soup in 2008: track bias.Chris Longshothttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01791496701142101230noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-38489464958892491922009-01-01T21:01:00.003-05:002009-01-01T21:27:32.135-05:002008: The Year of Changes<em>by Ralph the Cat</em><br /><br />2008 was a strange year for me and many others. We <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">didn't</span> have Dale Baird leveling the playing field with tough claimers and solid contenders in most races like we're used to seeing. It seemed like I watched the Super Trainers win races by 10 lengths or more one too many times. We saw Parker have the best meet of his life and finished an amazing 2<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">nd</span> place in total wins in North America. We watched Rex Stokes III put it dull efforts on bottom claimers and bettors questioning rides from guys like him and Whitney more than ever. Just when Mountaineer racing seemed like a year-round same ole same ole type of track, we ran into one of the most unusual years in its history. Throw in <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">Presque</span> Isle Downs meet pulling some horses and trainers away as well and you got some unusual looking <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">overnighters</span> coming from Mountaineer. Did I enjoy it? Yes, but <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">I'm</span> a sick, sick man and can't wait for 2009. Saturday January 17<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">th</span>, 2009, the most underrated opening day in our sport. From 7:00pm to 10:20pm there will be $2 million in handle on an old dirt oval in the back woods of some town called Chester.Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-70826012223286275582008-12-20T02:29:00.003-05:002008-12-20T02:55:44.274-05:00"No Player, No Cry"<em>by Ralph the Cat</em><br /><br />I remember when we used to sit,<br />In the paddock area in Chester,<br />Oba - obaserving the 'ypocrites,<br />As they would mingle with the good people we meet.<br />Good races we won, oh, good races we've lost<br />Along the way.<br />In this great track, you can't forget your past;<br />So dry your tears, I seh.<br />No, player, no cry;<br /><br />No, player, no cry.<br />'Ere, little darlin', The mountain will open soon,<br />So dry your tears, I seh.<br />No, player, no cry.<br /><br />Its hard to believe a reggae song written more than 35 years ago is still played on the radio today. Bob Marley's hit song"No Women, No Cry" from 1975 was playing on the local radio station the moment I clicked to view this Saturdays overnighter. Unfortunately, it hit me hard when there was no overnighter for Saturday and I remembered there wouldn't be any MNR races this weekend. There's mountaineer players all over the world walking around with their heads down and a little less spunk in their step this week. Its going to be tough, but I'm here if any one needs to talk about it. All I can say is... "No player, No Cry"... because this Saturday afternoon you can pull up past performances for December 27ths card already. So don't shed no tears, you have work to do. <br /><br />Everything's gonna be all right!<br />I said, everything's gonna be all right-a!<br />Everything's gonna be all right!<br />Everything's gonna be all right, now!<br />Everything's gonna be all right!Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-24268074361888150522008-12-17T23:43:00.001-05:002008-12-17T23:45:44.710-05:00Fort Erie Trainers: A Continued Presence at the Mountain<em>by Chris Longshot</em><br /><br />Most would agree that one of the most difficult aspects of handicapping races at Mountaineer is the daily and continued presence of shippers from other circuits. While it has been well chronicled by Mountaineer enthusiasts, the importance of Kentucky horses showing up in MSW races at the mountain and their overall high hit rate, one cannot look at a Mountain card these days and not see multiple runners who’s last race was in Canada, specifically, Fort Erie Racetrack in Ontario. This has created a perplexing situation for many handicappers who are trying to decipher which ones are here begging to be claimed and which ones are well spotted by their trainers. What makes it increasingly difficult is that most of these FE trainers have been very successful in their home circuit, boasting very respectable percentages. Thus, the million dollar question that is left to be answered: How does the Fort Erie form translate to the Mountaineer form? In my opinion, one of the best ways to assess these trainers is to assess their past successes at Mountaineer because most, if not all who follow the Mountain, know it’s what they do at the Mountain that counts, not Fort Erie. <br /><br />In 2007, was when the flux of FE trainers was most prominent. The most notable FE trainers during the 2007 racing year at Mountaineer were Robert Johnston (21%), Kevin <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">Buttigieg</span> (26%), Mark <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">Fournier</span> (30%), Stacy Cooper (34%) and the most successful trainer at the 2007 meet was Don <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">MacRae</span> at a whopping (37%). Most interesting, of the five trainers mentioned above, four of them hit for a higher rate at the mountain than at Fort Erie and the fifth was just a few percentage points behind. Obviously, starts would have to be taken into consideration but one could then conclude that Fort Erie horses would improve and run well at the mountain now and in the future. The overall win rate for FE shippers that year was 21%, a resounding 50% were in the money yet a negative return of investment of .58.<br /><br />As the 2007 meet ended at Mountaineer, and 2008 racing year approached, many of these trainers went back to Fort Erie and continued their success. This time however, a new faced emerged out of the pack, trainer Michael <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Newell</span>, scored his first ever trainer title at FE, saddling 36 winners. After the FE meet ended in October, many of these trainers, with the exception of <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">Fournier</span>, who had sold off his horses to Jeff <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">Radosevich</span>, have made their annual trek back to the Mountain. Based on their past success, one might conclude there horses would be “live” and well meant. In the meantime, a new FE invader, Paula <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">Loescher</span>, had come to try her trade here at the mountain but has had little success, hitting at a lowly 4% hit rate. At the current Mountaineer meet, Robert Johnston is hitting at (20%), Kevin <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">Buttigieg</span> (28%) and Stacy Cooper is down from last year, hitting at a 22% rate. The Mountaineer super trainer, Don <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">MacRae</span> has stayed in Canada, choosing to run his horses at Woodbine and to no surprise is having great success. Ironically, the leading trainer at FE this past year, Michael <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">Newell</span> is at a lousy 9% hit rate, proving once again that it matters only what they do here, not anywhere else. I’m sure Mr. <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_10">Newell</span> can’t wait for the next FE meet, though rumor has it they may not race there in 2009. That being said, if you have lost the rent money backing <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_11">Newell</span> horses at the mountain, don’t be all too upset, I can assure you that if he <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_12">doesn't</span> get on track here, he will at another track, he’s too good of a trainer and a streaky one at that. The best part, due to the dismal efforts of his horses at the mountain, his horses will leave the gate at boxcar prices! In my opinion, all his horses need is a change of scenery; it’s just a Mountaineer thing.<br /><br />So what can us Mountaineer enthusiasts conclude about these Fort Erie trainers and horses. If the current percentages hold true, they will continue to run well and win races at the mountain but I would be cautious since some previous successful trainers are having slightly less successful meets than previously. Lastly, it should also be mentioned that the other track in Canada, Woodbine Racetrack, their horses tend not to fair so well, hitting at a 13% hit rate at the Mountain. I have an angle I like to play, it involves shooting against short price Woodbine horses. They will look unbeatable on Beyer’s and current form but I will only back them as long shots at the mountain. For some reason, the Woodbine horses do not like the “quirkiness” of the Mountaineer surface, I know we all feel their pain.Chris Longshothttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01791496701142101230noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-23661510300515934202008-12-17T18:18:00.007-05:002008-12-17T23:51:47.315-05:00What is Wrong With You People?<em>by Ralph the Cat</em><br /><br />Okay, so I often feel I'm allowed to complain about Mountaineer more than your average player. I may be wrong, but who cares, it is what it is. I often wonder what is wrong with you players that complain about a stewards decision when you only get a few blury head on shots on a computer monitor. Suddenly it becomes the "worst DQ you have ever seen", and in 2 months there will be another DQ that is the "worst DQ you have ever seen".<br /><br />The third race Monday night I bet a horse called Milliondollarbaby and I also had it listed on my contest sheet that can clearly be seen at e-ponies.com. When they turned for home I said shit, the #4 Im Inuit ridden by Olaf Hernandez is going to get by my horse, then suddenly I screamed ..."that's it lean in on him a little, you got, you got it". As the horse crossed the line I said to myself, thank god this is at Mountaineer, because anywhere else that would be a DQ. So I log on to twinspires to check my account balance after the 6-1 shot wins it. My account balance doesn't reflect the win, I didn't have to look at the results, I knew right away that they must have brought that horse down and placed him second. Was I mad? no, because it was the right call. S0 what is wrong with you people? If you couldn't see that the lead horse affected the 2nd place finisher, I'm not so sure you are an intelligent race observer.<br /><br />The only thing I can complain about with the stewards at Mountaineer is the lack of more DQs. There's not too much consistency at Mountaineer, but when they do make a DQ, its usually a pretty damn good decision. I think the reason why Mountaineer players get frustrated is because we see rough race riding at Mountaineer so many nights without DQs, so when there is a DQ, we just think its race riding.Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-89988361758713626382008-12-14T22:51:00.011-05:002008-12-17T23:52:24.155-05:00Sun Shines Bright on Arizona<em>by Ralph the Cat</em><br /><br />Although a career as a jockey for Arizona Miller seems like the best idea, he has other plans along the way. Arizona Miller will be hanging up his tack as a full-time dedicated jockey as he focuses on school and a wrestling championship. The 16 year old Junior who has put as many long shots in the winners circle as any this fall looks to focus on his last 2 years of high school before dedicating the rest of his life to horse racing. Miller, with 2 mounts left, sits with 11 wins from 224 mounts. Nothing spectacular, but for a 16 year old bug boy at Mountaineer, that's respectable. All you need to do is watch one race of his and you'll respect his desire to win in a jockey colony that's questionable at times.<br /><br />Winning races is hard enough for any 16 year old bug buy, but trying to get "winning" mounts is an entirely different story at Mountaineer. In a jockey colony where leading rider <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">Deshawn</span> Parker sits 2<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">nd</span> in wins in the nation makes it hard for any rider to get "live" mounts. Then throw in Rex Stokes III and Dana Whitney who both finished in the top 10 last year in total wins in North America. Then you have guys like Scott <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">Spieth</span> grabbing mounts from plenty of shippers and Oswald <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Pereira</span> dominating the mounts from the small local stables. I often wonder how any other jockey in the jocks room can even get a "live" mount. Then a 16 year old bug boy takes 11 winners into the winners circle between home work assignments in the jocks room. He's no Pat Day, he'll probably never win a grade I, but by golly its not everyday you can count on a jockey at Mountaineer to just try, to just try and win a damn race. Most Jockeys in his situation would quit school and race full-time, well, most of the jockeys he out-rides have already done that. I commend him for what he has accomplished and look forward to his return as a full-time jockey.Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-74043080234362045332008-12-14T15:11:00.006-05:002008-12-17T23:52:51.079-05:00If You Had a Pulse<em>by Ralph the Cat</em><br /><br />If you had a pulse during last nights card you should have realized at the 1/2 pole of the first race that the :49 and change was a bit odd for the $15k <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">MDNs</span> going 5.5F. Its moments like this when you just have to take everything you knew from last week and throw it out the window, sometimes a few drinks of rum and coke helps the process. Players have so much trouble with figuring out Mountaineers surface and its because the track crew tries to get the track in the best shape to run no matter what the process might be. Dropping some sand on the track to help dry it up and fill in the holes was what the track crew did for this weekends races. So the fast times and early speed bias could be thrown out the window, it was all about who's fit and who's not. Taking a horse like Mr. Flamboyant in the 8<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">th</span> race was a good example. If you didn't realize how much the track changed by the 8<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">th</span> race, you shouldn't even be betting horses, so I don't want to here any crap about my selection of Mr. Flamboyant 2 days before the race was run. Mr. <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Flamboyant</span> had little if any shot to try and wire that field in the heavy sands of Mountaineer coming off such a long layoff. Another day, another dollar, he might reward those that bet him.Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-13518558618906586432008-12-12T14:08:00.008-05:002008-12-17T23:53:22.654-05:00Mama I'm Coming Home<em>by Ralph the Cat</em><br /><strong></strong><br /><strong>Saturdays 8<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">th</span> race:<br /></strong>Mr. Flamboyant, the 3 year old grey colt with an alarming pedigree comes back to Mountaineer after a 7 month layoff to sit at 3/1 in Mountaineers feature race on Saturday. Mr. Flamboyant remains <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">winless</span> when trying 3 different synthetic surfaces in his 2 and 3 year old campaign. His last win was at Mountaineer in November of 2007 win he drew away with authority to win by nearly 10 lengths in a 5.5F event for non-winners of 2 lifetime. His other win was a MSW score at Mountaineer in which he drew off by more than 7 lengths. The layoff is going to keep him at a respectable 5/2 or higher while the Clayton Hurt trainee, #4 Prince of <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">Saltlake</span> will be the heavy favorite and rightfully so. The main concern for the #4 Prince of <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Saltlake</span> is the jockey switch from Ronald Allen to a less talented Nathan <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">Vickers</span>. While there is reason to talk down the favorite there is every bit the reason to talk up the second choice entry Mr. Flamboyant. Mr. Flamboyant along with trainer Sherman Mitchell finished both a 4<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">th</span> in a stake race and 2<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">nd</span> in a 3 in a lifetime race when coming off a layoff of more than 3 months. On top of that, he puts in 2 bullet works including an impressive 5F work in 1:01 flat. With 3 speed balls in the race, the race sets up well for a hard charging closers, but with the track favoring speed more than ever, Mr. Flamboyant has the best chance to take them gate to wire. Mr. Flamboyant, a grey colt that earned a 100 <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">Brisnet</span> Speed Figure last year, plays every bit the part.Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-72657128955043722112008-12-11T19:25:00.002-05:002008-12-17T23:53:50.632-05:00Have You Ever Seen The Rain?<span style="font-family:georgia;"><em>by Ralph the Cat</em></span><br /><span style="font-family:georgia;"></span><br /><span style="font-family:georgia;">A great song written by John <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0"><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">Fogerty</span></span> in 1970, but Mountaineer players are more focused on "Who'll Stop The Rain" for Saturdays card. With no more Friday night racing for the next few months most Mountaineer players are going through withdrawal. The only thing we can think about throughout the week is if the weather is going to let us run. With several days of mixed snow and rain we cross our fingers in hopes of Saturday's 9 race card with 8 full fields including a full field of $30,000 claimers. "Who'll Stop The Rain" remains to be unanswered. </span>Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9083512069476553713.post-693215831495859742008-12-11T18:14:00.001-05:002008-12-17T23:54:18.366-05:00Cruel and Unusual Punishment<span style="font-family:georgia;"><em>by Ralph the Cat</em></span><br /><span style="font-family:georgia;"></span><br /><span style="font-family:georgia;">Cancelling the race cards on Saturday and Sunday made it hard for the Mountaineer cult to accept, but watching the chalk wire the field in 10 of the 18 races held on Monday and Tuesday sent them into a dark and lonesome corner. The wire-to-wire winners paid from $2.40 to $8.80 and crippled the long-shot players. If the lead horse at the 3/8th pole didn't bringing home the bacon Monday and Tuesday nights, it seemed the horse tucked right behind the lead horse did. </span><br /><span style="font-family:georgia;"></span><br /><span style="font-family:georgia;">Leave it to Super Trainer Louis Roberto Jr.'s runner to defy odds and come from a close stalking position to win at $11.40 in Tuesdays 5th and the hard hitting Oswald Pereira to close on a 4/1 shot in the 8th Tuesday night. Players found it hard to believe that getting a price included the name Louis Roberto. The biggest price of the week was bug boy Arizona Millers ride in the 5th Monday night bringing Broad Sweep to the wire in front at 18-1 and scoring his 7th win of the meet. </span><br /><span style="font-family:georgia;"></span><br /><span style="font-family:georgia;">Parker showed why he is the best at the Mountain scoring 2 wins on the frozen track on Monday and 5 wins in the slop on Tuesday. Oswald Pereira put the triple together Tuesday after scoring one win on Monday. With just a few weeks left of racing, Parker stamped his ticket to another jockey title by cushioning his lead by nearly 30 wins. </span><br /><span style="font-family:georgia;"></span><br /><span style="font-family:georgia;">The highlight of the week was Scooter Davis's claim in the 9th Monday night. The Super Trainer claimed Miss Diamondlegs who looked leg weary while trailing the field to a last place finish. </span>Ralph the Cathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13378650241762253772noreply@blogger.com0